XRP's SuperTrend Flashes Buy While Holders Sit on Historic Losses 📉➡️📈

XRP produced its first SuperTrend buy signal since mid-June, arriving after an extended corrective phase that previously preceded a 14% price rally. Market analyst Ali Charts noted that the same indicator had flagged the last two major declines of 19% and 16%, reinforcing its recent record at key turning points. Technical signals of this kind do not produce identical outcomes across different market environments, and the latest reading indicated that selling pressure had eased while buyers regained short-term control.

On-chain data from Santiment showed that XRP's average returns had fallen to their weakest levels in the asset's history. The 30-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio dropped to -45%, while the 365-day MVRV ratio declined to -47%, leaving both short-term and long-term holders deeply underwater. Historically, such extreme readings have appeared after prolonged periods of capitulation rather than widespread optimism, suggesting that most sellers had already absorbed significant losses before exiting. Deeply negative MVRV values have often improved the long-term risk-reward profile because fewer investors remain willing to sell at depressed prices, strengthening the case for a relief rally even though broader market conditions would still determine whether buyers could sustain any recovery.

Ripple's Network Value to Transactions (NVT) Ratio climbed to 194.71 after a 470.92% increase over the previous 24 hours, signaling that market valuation had begun outpacing underlying transaction activity. The metric measures network valuation against value transferred across the blockchain, and the latest reading suggested price was recovering faster than on-chain demand. Transaction activity frequently lags behind price during the early stages of recoveries, and sustained upside would likely require stronger network participation to support higher valuations over time.

At the time of writing, XRP traded around $1.1014 after reclaiming the $1.0385 support zone, where buyers had repeatedly prevented additional losses. The daily chart showed the MACD line crossing above the signal line while the histogram shifted back into positive territory, indicating that bearish pressure had weakened after weeks of decline. Price remained below the major resistance at $1.2352, making that level the next important barrier for any sustained recovery, with a successful move above it exposing the $1.3653 resistance.